Welcome. This site sheds light on 3 things:

  • A team’s odds of making the playoffs.
  • How today’s games impact those odds.
  • How well they need to finish the season to have a shot.

Saturday’s biggest movers

Up
TeamChance:ChangeBiggest Reason WhyLeague
Leicester CityDemoted26.7%-29.2Leicester 2 - 0 SwanseaPremier
Watfordwin title45.9+23.9Watford 1 - 0 BirminghamChampionship League
MiddlesbroughPremier League60.5+20.2Norwich 0 - 1 MiddlesbroughChampionship League
Richmond Tigersmake playoffs60.6+18.5Lions 58 - 137 TigersAFL
Essendon Bombersmake playoffs62.0+18.5Blues 84 - 105 BombersAFL
Sydney SwansTop 469.0+17.8Swans 111 - 90 GiantsAFL
Assyriska FFpromoted43.1+15.6Utsikten 0 - 1 AssyriskaSuperettan
Adelaide CrowsTop 470.5+14.8Crows 80 - 55 DemonsAFL
IFK Luleåpromoted21.7+12.4IFK Luleå 3 - 0 Carlstad UnitedDiv 1 Norra
IS Halmiarelegated16.9-12.2IS Halmia 3 - 1 Norrby IFDiv 1 Södra
Down
Norwich CityPremier League39.6-23.6Norwich 0 - 1 MiddlesbroughChampionship League
Greater Western SydneyTop 429.2-21.9Swans 111 - 90 GiantsAFL
SunderlandDemoted58.9+19.6Leicester 2 - 0 SwanseaPremier
North Melbourne Kangaroosmake playoffs24.2-19.5Kangaroos 105 - 113 PowerAFL
AFC Bournemouthwin title30.3-19.5Bournemouth 2 - 2 Sheff WedChampionship League
Melbourne Demonsmake playoffs22.6-16.5Crows 80 - 55 DemonsAFL
Östers IFrelegated23.9+14.7Öster 1 - 3 Trelleborgs FFDiv 1 Södra
Norrby IFrelegated50.3+12.5IS Halmia 3 - 1 Norrby IFDiv 1 Södra
Tampa Bay Raysmake playoffs20.5-11.9Rays 0 - 9 YankeesMLB
Carlstad United BKrelegated21.7+11.8IFK Luleå 3 - 0 Carlstad UnitedDiv 1 Norra

Sunday’s biggest games

Total swing: Adds up the "chance in playoffs" swing (difference between best and worst case outcomes) this game has on all teams. (Or chance of winning the title for non-playoff leagues.)

GameTotal swingLeague
WorcestervsPortland107AHL
C & K BasildonvsMK Dons2:00 PM102FA WPL Div 1 SE
CardiffvsPortsmouth2:00 PM78FA WPL South
BrightonvsSpurs2:00 PM73FA WPL South
NYCFCvsTimbers61MLS
VancouvervsToronto6:00 PM59USL PRO
GalatasarayvsGaziantepspor7:00 PM53Super Lig 2014/
UnionvsRevolution42MLS
PittsburghvsLouisville3:00 PM40USL PRO
TigersvsRaiders2:00 PM37NRL